The American football season consists of 272 games; the 32 teams play 17 games during a period of 18 weeks, with one day off. Betting on that sport, you must know that our NFL predictions are not limited to moneylines and point spreads. There are several factors that we analyze to increase winning chances before posting. We combine all the useful stats such as form and injuries, tracking other more complicated parameters like coaches, tactics and location of each game (i.e., travel distance, days of rest, weather).
- We collect the highest prices straight from all reliable and leading bookmakers. Then, we deliver average market odds next to each released pick.
- We don’t provide odds feed now, but we plan to add it to our services in the near future.
- The bookmakers presenting next to the odds doesn’t mean that they offer these prices. As we have ranked them, they are our recommended online betting sites; you can find valuable promos before placing your bets just with one click.
- We post the status for all daily betting tips (won, lost, void).
NFL Predictions Today
When posting picks for American football, the primary target is to help you find good value and secure returns for the 2022 season. Our tipsters evaluate every week, from Thursday to Monday, all the parameters to be accurate in their NFL predictions. The NFL is a widely popular league where some of the wealthiest teams globally participate, like the $1.5 billion value Dallas Cowboys. You can wager on different types of sports bets in an extensive range of markets. Besides the most popular ones, you can bet on the potential winners for Divisions and Conferences, the franchise with the best and worst seasonal record, the MVP and other major awards.
So, we are here to do the hard work for you, releasing our betting predictions on a daily basis. The key factors we examine are the rates of starting quarterbacks, each team’s quality and the winning probabilities based on the offered odds. From September’s kickoff day until February’s Super Bowl, we analyze every factor influencing the games before posting NFL betting tips for moneylines, point spreads, and players’ props.
When do we publish our NFL Predictions
Bookmakers release a few hundred future NFL odds every year, from which team will win the Super Bowl to how many games each team will win for the regular season. From the 2021 season, NFL includes an 18th regular-season week, while 2022 it’s the third year of a 14-team playoff era. American and National Conferences will give three Wild Cards each; so only the top-seeded team in AFC and NFC will receive a first playoff round without a game. Every week’s first game is on Thursday (20:20 ET, 02:20 CET on Friday); the last οne starts on Monday (20:15 ET, 02:15 CET on Tuesday).
👉 The central part of the schedule is on Sundays, divided into three zones:
The majority of the games have a kickoff time at 13:00 ΕΤ (19:00 CET).
The afternoon games start at 16:05 or 16:25 ΕΤ (22:05 or 22:25 CET).
The Sunday night game with a kickoff time at 20:20 ET (02:20 CET on Monday).
👉 Following the schedule, by 10:00 am (CET) every Thursday, Sunday, and Monday or sometimes one day before, you can get our daily NFL predictions based on the best value NFL odds for your wagering.
Preseason American football Betting Tips
The NFL preseason is a different part of the game, and bettors should have an individual approach. From 2021, the preseason includes three training games per team where the favourites’ odds are higher and the underdogs’ lower than the regular season. Here are our American football betting tips for the preseason you have to keep in mind.
✔️ Bet on underdogs: Most favourites, like Buffalo, Tampa Bay, and Kansas City, don’t show big motivation during preseason games. So, their coaches sometimes protect key players from injuries. The underdogs have won almost 50% of the games in the last five preseasons; so, betting on dark horses seems to be a profitable decision.
✔️ Follow the news: Key starters, especially quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, and Matthew Stafford, usually sit out in preseason games. They have low motivation and their playing time isn’t high. You should check the latest news for each franchise before placing your bet.
✔️ Focus on the lines: The big difference between the preseason and regular season is the lower lines. A group of teams, like the Baltimore Ravens and Seattle Seahawks, have time-tested value, especially from an underdog place. They have won 15+ games over the past five seasons. So, betting against the spread can be profitable.
NFL Betting Tips for the Postseason & Super Bowl
All NFL bookmakers set odds analyzing specific factors, like home-field advantage, injuries, current form, etc. Moreover, it’s essential to check other parameters based on statistics that reflect each team’s behaviour in the field. Before our tipsters post their NFL predictions, inspect several stats to comprehend which teams can achieve more wins in the regular season and reach the postseason.
Betting on the clash between the AFC and the NFC title winners is one of the most popular wagering options globally. Every year, Bookmakers.bet presents a full Super Bowl preview & predictions analysis, which is released one week before the Grand Final. Here you can find high-value picks for all the popular markets; moneylines, totals, and prop bets such as the Coin Toss call, the longest and shortest field goal or touchdown, and safety will be scored on the match.
How to make the best of our NFL Betting Tips
It seems easy for anyone to analyze the NFL 2022 season, considering what happened last season when the Rams and Bengals reached the Super Bowl LVI, overcoming all the obstacles. A repeat final between those two teams is a scenario with low possibilities. Still, we prefer to evaluate the situation week-by-week, considering specific criteria before posting our NFL predictions.
👉Quarterbacks rating: It’s not a rule, but it happens often. NFL teams with the sharpest quarterbacks always go deeper in the competition. For example, Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady took a franchise with no playoff win in 18 years, changing the Buccaneers’ entire status. Giving 50 touchdowns, the ex-Patriots quarterback has triumphed the Super Bowl LV transforming Tampa Bay into a winning team. We look deeply into the QBs stats and ratings before posting our NFL betting tips.
👉Injuries & suspensions: It’s a parameter we use in all popular sports, like football, basketball, and baseball, to comprehend how a team can be influenced if a star player can’t play. We take information from trusted sources and the local media before the matchups. So, we know all the latest injury/ban news for each franchise. You should know that even if one player, quarterback or running back, for instance, is absent, the whole game can be influenced against the team that has important issues to face. That’s a steady point also for those who avoid futures based on elite players, like quarterbacks, because a long-term injury can blow up these types of bets.
👉Home-field advantage: We have noticed the meaning of the home advantage in the NFL when teams couldn’t host a crowd due to the Covid-19 pandemic restrictions. In the mid-80s, the home win percentage in American football reached 65%, remaining up to 60% before the virus era. The winning rate of home teams was below 50% in the 2020 season (127-128-1). After the international health crisis, the home-field advantage will be a crucial factor for our NFL predictions, as we have checked for the previous 2021/22 season.
What do we check before posting NFL Predictions
Υou will quickly understand that we only post high-valued picks without backing favourites at 1.50 (-200) odds or lower. We analyze a wide range of NFL betting markets, but our experts focus on spreads, totals, and props. We constantly check important statistical info, like H2Η results, forms, probable rivalries, and making NFL predictions for the postseason spots and the Super Bowl winner.
✔️ NFL stats: Finding strength in numbers can be a profitable way to boost your NFL betting strategy. Besides the standings, the current form, and the H2H results of a clash, our tipsters look seriously at the advanced stats. Following, for instance, the expected number of rushing yards, you can predict value props like how many yards a player will run with the ball. Supplementally, we analyze models like completion probability which express how many chances a pass has to be completed.
✔️ NFL betting trends: You should evaluate specific American football betting tips before placing wagers besides key players’ injury news or what the crowd believes. We analyze these parameters to discover how a franchise performs ATS (i.e., against the spread) at home or how NFL teams react when playing against a division or conference rival. These NFL betting trends are exciting pieces of information that will help you comprehend how your selected team can perform in the upcoming game.
✔️ Top NFL rivalries: It’s a crucial part of the regular season as the divisional rivals face each other at least twice a year. There are several rivalries and games you should deeply think about before placing your wager. Here are the five most important ones: 1) Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears, 2) Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 3) Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4) Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders, 5) Washington Football Team vs. New York Giants.
How to make NFL Predictions for Win Totals
Generally, advanced stats are a valuable tool for our NFL analysis to find winning teams and those who can reach the postseason. Experienced bettors understand that a critical turnover or one field goal can decide several games in the regular or postseason. Let’s go deeper, examining three advanced stats before we make our American football betting tips.
Win percentage in one-possession matches: Αν NFL contest is said to be a one-possession or one-score game when the leading team has an eight-point advantage or less. In the last four years in the National Football League, 18 teams have had a 30% win percentage or worse in one-score games. For the 2020 season, for instance, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Houston Texans had fewer than 30%; none took a playoff ticket.
Turnover & fumble rate: Turnovers and fumbles (i.e., the possession loss before a tackle) play a critical role in determining NFL games. Checking the turnover and the fumble recovery rate helps make accurate NFL predictions. Taking 2014 as a starting point, the teams that ranked low in turnover margin and high in fumble recoveries improved their spot in the following season. For the 2020 NFL season, Carolina, Philadelphia, Chicago, New England, and Arizona were the best teams in fumble recovery rate; only Chicago took a postseason spot.
Team points difference: In the 2019 season, Houston made a 10-win regular season. Texans took 1st place in American South with a total minus 7-point difference (TPF 378 vs. TPA 385). They finished last season with a 4-1-11 record, with a high points difference at minus 77 (387 for vs. 464 against). The six fewer wins drove Houston to the 3rd-worst record in the NFL; the fact proves that each team’s total wins are regularly based on its points difference.
NFL Betting Tips for ATS bets
Wagering Against The Spread means that you back an underdog. Let’s see a practical example. For the NFL 2022/23 season, Week 1, the Chicago Bears host San Francisco 49ers, getting 6,5 points at 2.00 (+100) odds. So, they had a positive number of points (i.e., +6,5) as underdogs; meanwhile, the favourite has a negative one (i.e., -6,5). If the 49ers win by more points than the handicap, they will cover the spread giving a 1.82 (-122) odds payout.
Otherwise, if bettors back the Bears, they will go against the spread. In order to win, Chicago shouldn’t lose the game by seven or more points. There are several examples of final scores (e.g., a 30-27 win for San Francisco) where the underdog Bears can lose the matchup but win ATS. Following our NFL betting tips, you can find a wide range of daily cover and against-the-spread bets.
How to make NFL Predictions for Consensus bets
If you think that the public approach can make money for you, there’s a tactic that can help you in betting; even if you know little about American football. Our experts check every matchup’s consensus, but they don’t post their NFL betting tips based only on that factor. Undoubtedly, if 85% of picks (i.e., 338 from 400) are on 49ers to beat the Bears, the consensus of that game is exceptionally high for the favourite.
If you think Chicago will exploit the home advantage, you can bet against the 85%, which means against the public. The moneyline odds set for the Bears vs. 49ers matchup is 3.60 (+260) vs. 1.31 (-322); so, it’s normal to observe a high consensus betting on a clear favourite. Our experts check what the public says and several other parameters like betting trends, odds, past scores, and line movement to release their NFL predictions.
In the underneath list, you can check the best NFL Bookmakers with the broadest range of markets. These betting sites offer the highest odds for the regular season, playoffs, and Super Bowl in American football.
Bookmakers.bet posts free NFL betting tips for moneylines, spreads, total points, and props every week for the American football league from the regular season to the postseason until the Super Bowl game.
Prop bets can be a part of your long-term strategy when you can’t pick moneylines, spreads, or totals for several reasons. Bookmakers.bet releases American football betting tips every Thursday, Sunday, and Monday for team-based and individual players’ prop bets.
Super Bowl 57 is scheduled to be played in Glendale, Arizona, on February 12 2023. According to future prices, the Buffalo Bills at 7.00 (+600) odds are the favourites to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
Buffalo Bills won the AFC East in the 2021/22 season with an 11-6-0 record and 64,7% winning percentage. New England Patriots took 2nd place with 10-7-0 and 58,5%, respectively. For 2022/23, the Bills, at 1.45 (-222) odds, are the clear favourite to win the division against Miami Dolphins (5.25, +425), New England Patriots (5.25, +425), and New York Jets (25.00, +2400).
Browns are the 14th favourite to win the Super Bowl LVII at 30.00 (+2900) odds. Cleveland has improved the offensive and defensive lines the previous years, building a talented team. Although, it’s difficult to upset the upcoming NFL season. Following the outright odds, the possibility of reaching the playoffs pays 2.65 (33/20) while the failure probability is at 1.45 prices.