Premier League Top 4 Betting Guide

With 380 Premier League matches taking place each season, there are certainly plenty of opportunities for punters to place their bets. However, single-match markets are not the only existing ones on offer. Outright betting allows you to predict what will happen at the end of the season and it can make things interesting from the opening weekend all the way through to the last.

One of the most popular options is top 4 betting, which, realistically having just six or seven teams to choose from, is also one of the easiest bets to win. In our betting on top 4 premier league guide, we are going to run through our top tips for the new season, including the best places to place your wagers and the teams that will look to be a surprise act throughout it.

Best Premier League Top 4 Betting Sites

It is important to use the best Premier League betting sites. Like many other markets, there are a number of aspects to consider beforehand. First, you will need to find those who offer the best odds in order to maximise your potential winnings. Second, you should keep an eye out for the option to cash out - as some sportsbooks do not allow this function on special bets.

Finally, you should look for the option of being able to combine selections. For example, some bookmakers may allow you to select both Tottenham and Liverpool for a top-four finish, while others won’t. Now that you know the criteria to look out for, here is our list of top recommendations:

Current Premiership Top Four odds

With top four betting odds being live for the duration of the season, this is also one of the Premier League’s most volatile markets. Because although a team can go through a good run of form, it can just as easily go through a bad one.

This means results on the pitch will also have an effect on the odds that the bookmakers set; therefore, the values that you see at the start of the campaign may be different as it unfolds. This is why it is best to follow our EPL football betting tips to get our latest predictions as the season progresses. 

Basics of Betting on the Top Finishers

Although some markets can be confusing, top 4 betting is not among them. Here you are simply selecting a team that you think will end up finishing in the top four of the league table. Meanwhile, not only is it found in every major bookmaker, but there is also a variation to it as well.

One that comes in the form of top 6 betting, as you select a team to finish in the top six of the final league table. The reason it is so popular is that a top-four finish also means qualification for the following Champions League competition. While this is always an interesting subplot to any Premier League season.

Moreover, this is a market that can be bet on before the season gets underway or while it is in progress – something that only adds more interest to proceedings. Should you place your bets early, the top four betting odds are likely to be larger. However, with every team on zero points at that stage, the element of risk is also attached.

Therefore, it is sometimes better to wait until the league is in full swing. The odds may be smaller, but you will at least be able to use the current league table as a guide for your selection. That being said, it is not worth betting on the favourites in this market. If only because the eventual reward does not pay enough for the wait, you will have to withstand.

Therefore, it is always better to select those teams who -you believe- are going to finish third or fourth in the table. Another aspect to consider is the ability to cash out; with odds being able to change in an instant, it makes sense to be able to bank your winnings earlier than the season’s final day. Especially if your selection has a good points advantage but with a difficult set of fixtures ahead.

Likewise, particularly if you don't think there is value to back a team to finish in the top four, you should look at the Premier League relegation betting market. The relegation battle is always more fierce, with more teams involved every year. Plus, the odds you will receive will be better because it is never easy to be certain which teams will go down. 

Best Premier League Top Four Predictions

When it comes to making your top four predictions, there are only six or seven genuine contenders for these positions; and although it makes life slightly easier, it can still be a difficult market to find a winner. Thankfully, our four selections below will steer you further in the right direction.

Manchester City - 1/10

In terms of top four predictions, they do not get any safer than Manchester City, and, at odds of 1/10, they are almost guaranteed to earn another invite to next season’s Champions League football. However, this bet is going to do little to worry the bookmakers. This is why you should back other teams with higher odds. 

Chelsea - 13/8

A bet that may make the bookmakers sweat is backing Chelsea to earn a return to the Champions League. Although they are operating under new ownership, this should not make too much difference on the field, where a top-four finish looks likely. On the other hand, a slow start will mean that their coach will be in trouble of being replaced, like it happened last year.  

Also Read: Football Manager Betting

Arsenal - 1/7

However, they are not the only riders in this race and with Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal falling short last time, they will look to fare better this season. Their excellent campaigns in the last two seasons and well-balanced team make them a virtual lock for the top four. Like Man City, there are better alternatives out there. 

Manchester United - 2/1

Although last season was one to forget, the second season of Erik ten Hag as manager and nice moves during the summer have given supporters a reason to be optimistic. With top-four betting odds of 2/1, they probably have yet another reason to be cheerful.

Most Successful Top-four Finishers

When looking to make your top four predictions, one thing to consider is previous performance in the Premier League. The best way to measure it is by looking at which teams finish in the top four the most. When looking at the past 10 seasons of the Premier League, here are the statistics that you need to know:

⏩ Manchester City have a 100% success rate when it comes to top four finishes

⏩ Chelsea has an 80% success rate

⏩ Liverpool’s rate stands at 70%

⏩ Tottenham and Manchester United both have a 40% success rate

⏩ Arsenal’s rate increases to a 50%

⏩ Leicester has just a 10% top-four success rate - although this was when they actually won the Premier League title in 2016.

A Final Thought about Premier League Top 4 Betting

Although top 4 betting is worth the time and effort, that effort should better be placed on the hunt for some good value. Therefore, when it comes to this market, you should avoid any teams with odds that are 1.50 or lower. Meanwhile, if you are to place any bet within this market, you must remember that any winnings can only come at the end of the season.

This means this must be treated as a longer-term investment. Then again, it pays to wait because the top four betting odds will be shorter towards the end of the season. The reason for this is that the Premier League table will be far less volatile than it is at the start. With that in mind, here is our recommended list of bookmakers: