How does the weather affect sports betting results?

weather sports betting snowDo you ever glance at the weather forecast before placing a bet? If you don’t, perhaps it's time you changed your mind and gave thought into including the weather forecast into your pre-game analysis. Weather conditions tend to affect a lot of crucial aspects, from pitch condition to player psychology and stamina. These factors can significantly affect where you should put your money on. The average bettor tends to ignore weather conditions for a number of reasons.

Most of these punters, especially those who bet on lower non-televised league matches, can never understand how important this piece of information is. They can't realize that the matches are taking place in different parts of the world, where different parameters must be taken into account. Watching the sun shine or the rain fall out of your window is completely irrelevant to a match taking place thousands of miles away. No, we're not saying you should be a meteorologist to place a tenner on a match taking place in a cold rainy night in Stoke, but to simply find some info on a well informed weather forecast website.

Does cold weather affect sports performance?

Betting on politicsThere are a lot of theories about how weather conditions may influence a match. The most common concerning our predictions is that you should expect many goalless draws when it’s raining, as the poor pitch is bound to kill creative play. However, this only takes into account how the attacking team will perform. What these "prediction experts" fail to keep in mind is that a poor pitch is filled with hazard for the team in defence as well. Wrongly timed sliding tackles, poor clearences, a slippery ball that the goalie will avoid to hold; all of these mistakes are made due to bad weather and are common even among experienced defenders.

The second common myth concerns the temperature and it goes like this: Don’t bet on matches where the conditions are considered severe. This either means low temperatures (below zero Celcius) or high ones (over 35 Celcius). This is an obvious rookie mistake, as it fails to account whether the players are accustomed to these conditions or not. Think about it. A native Russian player will find it easier to play at temperatures close to zero, as they are born and raised in cold temperatures. It’s the same about players born at the tropics and hot weather, Southeast Asians and heavy rain or Scandinavians and snow. Wherever people are accustomed to living under certain conditions from an early age, these conditions will have minimal effect when playing football.

So here's a smart tip. If you should focus on the weather, look out for unexpected conditions like heat in Russia, snow in Spain, rain in Algeria or blinding sun in England. Watch out when players are not accustomed to playing under such conditions. This also does not mean that temperatures should be absolute. 13 degrees Celcius would be considered cold for a Congolese and hot for a Norwegian.

Place your bets today

It’s raining, but where?

paypal bookmakerRain is also a common dissuasive factor when it comes to football, but you should take into account where it is ACTUALLY raining. It’s not only about the familiarity to the conditions, but also about the pitch condition. A rain, even a heavy one, would hardly affect an English Premier League club’s pitch, or a Spanish La Liga one, but at the same time a few drops of rain can easily turn an English League Two club’s turf into a mudfest. Of course there are exceptions, but the general rule is that the lower you go into league rankings, the greater effect weather has on the style of play.

Keep in mind that weather conditions can the affect performance of individual players. Some delicate midfield players are not happy when it’s raining, as they find it difficult to give their splitting passes or make their elegant dribbles. On the contrary, stronger players, will take advantage of their huge body especially when chasing the ball, find it easy to play in rain, as their slowed-down opponent’s become more vulnerable.

Heading to different climates

In small-sized countries like the Benelux, significant variations in weather are mainly uncommon. Whether it’s raining or it's sunny the whole state shares the same effects. On the other hand this is not the case in huge countries that lie on different climate zones. In Russia, for example, it might be warm in Sochi and at the same time freezing in Vladivostok. You could find big differences in USA, Australia, China, Brazil or even Chile.

This is more common in international competitions all over the World, both for clubs and national teams. A Maghrebi club heading down to Tanzania has a hard time conforming right away to the different weather conditions. The same apply for a Qatari club going to Uzbekistan, for an Australian club heading to Thailand or a Norwegian playing in Israel in late August. Weather has been a crucial factor in Kazakhstan Football Federation’s decision to leave the Asian Football Confederation (AFC) and join UEFA instead. The Kazakhs have complained about extreme temperature variations between their climate and their opponents when playing international matches.

They were leaving the dry steppe to play at the hot Arab peninsula or at the monsoons of Southeast Asia, thus suffering a great number of away defeats. So, you should be more cautious about the weather when it comes to international ties. Look for big climate changes between the two countries before placing your bet. Ultimately, you should remember that looking into the weather info is not meant as a tool to influence where you should place a bet, but rather to prevent you from losing money by backing the wrong choices.

Join and grab exclusive bonuses, daily offers and free bets!

Lay hands on exclusive daily bonuses for members only. These promos are limited and are not advertised on the website.

Yes, I have read the Terms & Conditions and I consent to receiving emails from regarding betting promotions, betting guides and news.


What’s your main goal before you place a bet? To simply have some fun, earn some money or have a long-term profit out of it? Even astute professionals...

Read more »

One of the most important aspects in making a profit and generally being successful in sports betting, is to have at least some basic money management...

Read more »

How do past results affect your betting choices? Do you completely ignore how the teams performed in their previous meeting? Do you just get a glance ...

Read more »

The Edit My Acca betting service offers bettors the power to add, remove, and swap selections and increase the stake of unfinished bets both pre-match...

Read more »

Asian Handicap betting has traditionally been the most popular way of placing bets on football in Southeast and Far East Asian markets. Handicapping i...

Read more »

Partial Cash Out is a betting service that allows users to make some early profit. Players can Cash Out a portion of the starting bet, retaining the r...

Read more »

Betting on horse racing can be a very profitable experience. That is if you’re fortunate enough to pick a winner. Bettors who have detailed knowledge ...

Read more »

You can’t hope to achieve much success in betting on tennis without thorough preparation. That preparation begins with understanding both X’s and O’s ...

Read more »

Betting is in most cases a fast procedure. Even if you chase early odds and place your bets as soon as bookies start to offer their lines, it will onl...

Read more »

The Trixie Bet consists of four bets: a Treble and three Doubles based on three selections from different sporting events. The significant advantage o...

Read more »

  • 1.000+ live events daily
  • 95% payout on top leagues
  • Cashout
100% up to €122
  • 1.000 live matches daily
  • Asian Handicap
  • 50+ sports
  • Code:BOOKSPY
100% up to €130
  • 10.000 live events per month
  • 40+ sports
  • Bet Builder
  • Code:30FB
€30 Free Bets + €10 Casino
  • 50+ sports
  • Cards & Corners
  • Edit my bet
100% up to €100
  • 3+ Asian football lines
  • 1,000 live events/day
  • 50+ football leagues available
100% Bonus up to ₫10,000,000
  • 9.000+ live events per month
  • 20.000+ pre match events monthly
  • 1-click bet
100% up to €150
Mr Play Sports
  • 10.000 pre-match events per month
  • 35+ sports
  • 140+ extra bets
100% up to €100
  • More than 1,000 live events/day
  • 150+ markets in football
  • 40,000+ events/month
100% up to €100
  • 20.000+ live events per month
  • 95%+ on Top 5 leagues and NBA
  • Alternative handicaps on basketball
100% up to €/$150
  • Ideal for football lovers
  • 150+ extra bets on top leagues
  • Multiple Asian handicap markets
$30 in Bet Credits
  • 95%+ on tennis
  • Alternative spreads on basketball
  • Asian View
120% up to €/$240
  • 250.000+ pre-match events/year
  • 10.000+ live events monthly
  • 96%+ on Asian Handicaps
€25 Welcome Bonus
  • 94%+ payout on tennis
  • 180+ alternative bets on top leagues
  • Lots of alternative HC’s on basketball
Bet €15, Get €10
  • 30+ alternative handicaps in basketball
  • 150+ pre-game football lines
  • More than 30 live tennis markets
110% up to €150
  • MGA license
  • 10,000+ events monthly
  • Asian Handicaps
100% up to €/$100