One of the certainties regarding the Premier League each season is that three teams will be relegated to the Championship. These days, bookmakers allow you to bet on the identity of those sides, both pre-season and during the campaign, with the market swinging back and forth as teams drop in and out of the bottom three. Promoted clubs such as Nottingham Forest, Bournemouth and Fulham are the favourites to go down. If you are wondering how relegation betting works, you’ve come to the right place. You’ll discover which bookies offer this market, which teams are likely to be fighting for survival and if there can be any valuable relegation betting odds in backing a surprise candidate to go down.
Best Premier League Relegation Betting sites
When we identify sites that are good for a bet on Premier League relegation, there are certain criteria that we look out for. We recommend sites that provide competitive odds for all selections and quickly update the markets during the season. We also like bookies to give the facility to Cash Out. Some sites don’t allow you to cash out wagers on special markets, so check to see if it’s available.
Current Relegation Betting Odds
The prices can wildly fluctuate during the season based on performance. A team expected to go down could see their odds rise if they make a strong start, such as the 2019-20 relegation favourites Sheffield United who eventually finished ninth. Meanwhile, a team considered to be fairly safe could see their price plummet if their opening results disappoint. Here are the current Premier League relegation betting odds.
|EPL Team||Relegation Odds||EPL Team||Relegation Odds|
How to Bet On Premier League Relegation
In each season, the teams finishing in the bottom three positions go down to the Championship. They are officially relegated when they can no longer mathematically gain enough points to finish outside the bottom three. When engaging in Premier League relegation betting, you should consider multiple aspects. An obvious one is where they finished in the previous season. Were they involved in the relegation fight and only narrowly avoided the drop?
Or were they promoted, with 45% of teams coming up from the Championship relegated within a single season. Recently promoted teams may not have a squad of sufficient quality to stay up, nor the money to improve it. They may also have a manager suited to winning promotion from the Championship but not equipped to lead a gruelling fight against relegation. On the other hand, teams from the EPL may struggle if they have lost key players or an effective manager. Another thing to consider is the fixture list.
If a side has a tough start to the season, there might be an opportunity to back them at a relatively high price before it drops. The fixture list can decide whether it’s best to bet on a team to go down before the season starts, or if they have an easy start, wait until the relegation betting odds improve later in the season. If you can back a team at a high price that drops lower during the season, you’ll be able to cash out for a guaranteed profit, which could be sensible if you think they have a chance of escaping relegation.
Our top Premier League relegation predictions
Amongst the favourites to be relegated are different types of clubs. There are the ones that have been promoted, a team that barely avoided the drop last season and a team that was promoted in 2021-22 and flourished. Here’s our verdict on the bottom five in the relegation betting.
Bournemouth - 1.67 (4/6) to be relegated
The relegation favourites have a tough start, playing three of the last season’s top five within their first four games. Though their odds are short, they could be lower still after those fixtures, so back them now. Scott Parker is a talented manager, but this squad isn’t good enough.
Nottingham Forest - 2.00 (1/1) to be relegated
Forest may be the promoted team that can survive the drop. They were transformed after Steve Cooper was appointed and look to have made some canny signings, such as Dean Henderson on loan, new wing-backs Neco Williams and Omar Richards, along with Moussa Niakhate and Taiwo Awoniyi, who both flourished in the Bundesliga.
Fulham - 2.52 (6/4) to be relegated
The Championship title holders are the best value to go down of all the promoted clubs. In both the 2018-19 and 2020-21 seasons, they went straight back down after winning promotion and in Marco Silva, they have a manager that has been relegated with Hull before having his struggles at this level with Watford and Everton. Back them at these odds.
Leeds - 3.50 (5/2) to be relegated
Narrowly avoided relegation last season and have since sold their two best players. Have a reasonably kind start to the season, so it may be prudent to wait to see how they fare before backing. Leeds has been busy in the transfer market, but all their signings are young and lack Premier League experience. The jury is still out on Marsch. Overall, Leeds looks like the most likely of the established Premier League clubs to go down.
Brentford - 3.75 (11/4) to be relegated
Survived their first season back in the top flight and, aside from Christian Eriksen, have not lost any of their players. Brentford has also recruited smartly, bringing in young British talents such as Aaron Hickey and Keane Lewis-Potter. There isn’t much justification for Brentford being a shorter price than the likes of Southampton and Everton. The Bees should stay up.
Years in the EPL
The following table shows the teams relegated from the Premier League over the last ten years and the number of seasons they had spent in the top flight.
|Season||18th||Years in EPL||19th||Years in EPL||20th||Years in EPL|
|2020-21||Fulham||1||West Brom||1||Sheffield Utd||2|
When considering betting Premier League relegation odds, it’s noticeable that two promoted clubs have gone down in three of the last four seasons. There has also been only one season that all three promoted clubs stayed up.
Best bookmakers for Relegation Betting
Relegation betting can be an exciting market. It’s never certain which teams go down, with history proving that there can often be a surprise team after several years in the top flight. The market fluctuates throughout the season, depending on results. Teams that are massive favourites to go down sometimes stay up and sides considered safe and available at big odds are ultimately relegated. Betting on Premier League Relegation markets can therefore be lucrative. Here is our complete list of bookmakers.
The last three teams in the Premier League are relegated to the Championship every season. They are replaced by the top two teams in the Championship and the winners of the Championship Play-Offs, which are contested between the sides that finished third to seventh.
Betting on teams to be relegated can be profitable. There are big swings in the markets, with favourites to be relegated staying up each season and surprise teams going down. If you time your bets correctly, making a profit is possible.
Liverpool was last relegated from England’s top flight in the 1953-54 season, the third time they had been demoted to the old Division 2. They were promoted back to Division 1 in 1962 under their manager Bill Shankly and have remained in the top flight ever since.
A team is relegated once they can no longer mathematically earn enough points to finish outside the bottom three places in the EPL. When that is the case, a bookmaker may decide to settle bets for that team to be relegated.
Bournemouth is the favourite to be relegated at 1.67. Nottingham Forest is the second favourite at 2.00, with Fulham the third at 2.52. All three were promoted from the Championship last season.
Some bookies will offer cash out as an option in relegation markets. Check the terms and conditions of the market to see if it is available. Cash out can be a useful tool when betting on relegation in order to guarantee a profit.
Everton was a founder member of the English top flight in 1888. Since then, they have only been relegated twice, first in the 1929-30 season and then in 1950-51. Everton was promoted back to the old First Division in 1954 and has remained in the top flight ever since.