2022 MLB Predictions

Many sports have started to gain popularity among bettors globally. There’s no doubt baseball is one of them, especially in North/South America and Asian countries like Japan, South Korea and Chinese Taipei. The MLB, in particular, has become one of the fastest-growing leagues in betting. Our tipsters examine every day all the factors to be informed and accurate in their MLB predictions. The key parameters we evaluate are the stats of starting pitchers, such as ERA and WHIP, each team’s batting order and average, and the implied probability of the offered odds.

MLB predictions for today
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Disclaimer

  • We collect the highest prices straight from all reliable and leading bookmakers. Then, we deliver average market odds next to each released pick.
  • We don’t provide odds feed now, but we plan to add it to our services in the near future.
  • The bookmakers presenting next to the odds doesn’t mean that they offer these prices. As we have ranked them, they are our recommended online betting sites; you can find valuable promos before placing your bets just with one click.
  • We post the status for all daily betting tips (won, lost, void).

MLB Predictions Today

Baseball ballMLB bettors have to deal with a giant 162-game regular season for each team, which means up to 15 matches a day from April to October. That fact, coupled with the Postseason and World Series, make it very tough to analyze every game. Since it’s almost impossible to follow all matches, we are here to do the hard work for you. By analyzing advanced stats and unique conditions such as ballparks’ and pitchers’ impact, we can determine which way the results are gonna go. Besides the traditional WDW (i.e., 9-innings), you can wager on a vast range of markets. That’s why our MLB predictions are not limited to moneylines and run lines. When releasing them, our main target is to help you secure value odds and high returns. For that reason, we examine all the needed parameters to increase your winning chances.

When do we publish our MLB Betting Tips

Tips for the Nobel Peace Prize 2021After the Covid-19 pandemic restrictions, MLB returned to normality with a complete 2021 season. So, there are a mammoth number of opportunities every day. MLB bookmakers release hundreds of future odds, from which team will win the World Series to who will take the Cy Young award for the best pitcher. After checking our trusted sources for all the latest news and the line movements, we monitor the prices 24/7. So, we are driving you to the elite sportsbooks with the best odds for every baseball market instantly. Following the schedule, by 11:00 am (CET) every day, you can see our MLB betting tips.

MLB Predictions for Spring Training

Baseball batterThe MLB preseason is an entirely different part of baseball, so you should have a distinct approach. Spring training session allows managers and their staff to evaluate players who try to earn a roster spot. Betting on these exhibition games is too risky. To avoid the preseason struggle, keep the following in mind.

✔️ Non-home-field advantage: The Grapefruit League is held in Florida, including several intense matchups (e.g., Red Sox vs. Yankees, Astros vs. Braves, Pirates vs. Cardinals). On the flip side, the Cactus League hosts 15 major franchises (e.g., Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers) in Arizona. As you can understand, the home-soil advantage doesn’t exist in spring training because these games are played in neutral and smaller ballparks.

✔️ Underdogs’ value: Our experts have concluded that betting on non-playoffs teams against postseason franchises is a profitable strategy. These preparation games are random, which means that the dark horses have greater winning chances. Our MLB predictions for spring training focus on underdogs’ run line. Since 2013, more than 370 (69%) favourites didn’t manage to cover the line.

✔️ Protect the pitcher: Baseball betting has a leading principle. The starting pitcher matchup defines the odds. This parameter doesn’t exist in spring training for two reasons. Firstly, the games are not played in the home stadiums, so bookmakers avoid overrating the pitchers’ impact. Secondly, several managers set a 20-pitch limit for their quality defenders. What does it mean? Maybe from the 2nd inning, they turn to the bullpen process, a move that can ruin your pre-match bet. We understand which teams resort to that tactics and avoid them in our preseason MLB picks.

MLB Predictions for the Regular Season

baseballThe regular season in North American baseball forces us to retool our handicapping strategy and analyze factors such as the starting pitchers’ rating, the travel programme, or the series’ schedule. In any case, these are only a few of the several aspects we examine before posting our MLB betting tips. The road to the World Series is too long. Patience is a crucial advantage, so we release betting predictions only when we see a clear edge according to the factors underneath.

Pitchers rating

Oddsmakers face a unique challenge every day to evaluate the pitching matchups. Our experts, tracking all the advanced stats, do the same thing in an attempt to find mistakes and value prices, for starters. The MLB picks we post are based on the starting pitchers’ impact in all main markets. Run lines, moneylines, and totals are ultimately connected with a sharp or ineffective pitcher. We read behind ERA and WHIP numbers, trying to find the most consistent defenders.

Ballparks advantage

Home soil advantage determines our MLB picks approach, especially during the regular season. Yes, there are stadiums where baseball players love to play. We evaluate the appropriate stats after each season ends. So, we can understand when a home team is a favourite and why some ballparks produce runs. For instance, going back to 2019, we can confidently say that Colorado Rockies’ Coors Field was and remains a batter-friendly ballpark. With a 0.296 batting average and 0.360 on-base percentage, it’s not a surprise that a high number of runs were produced in that ballpark. That’s why outfielders have to play very deep and close to the borders, giving extra field for hits and runs.

Designated hitter

The National League’s teams have never used the designated hitter, except when they visit American League’s ballparks. That might be changing in the near future, but the DH rule can make the difference in interleague games. Pitchers are bad at hitting, so their appearance on the plate reduces runs. When posting MLB predictions on totals, we always check that. Let’s say, for example, that San Francisco will play at home with Houston against the Astros with Max Scherzer as a starter. The Giants’ sharp defender has to be a part of his team’s attacking plans. It’s difficult to be competent as it happens from the mound.

MLB Betting Tips for the Postseason & World Series

Who to bet on for the US Open 2021 Our analysts create a database of stats during the regular season. When the postseason starts, they understand which teams can win more games and reach the playoffs. Futures are always part of our betting pattern, but we also post MLB betting tips daily from the Wild Cards round to the World Series. When baseball comes into the postseason, we evaluate additional criteria.

👉Follow the news: Τhe injuries & suspensions sector is crucial for betting in all sports. Maybe in baseball, even a significant absentee can be replaced more easily except for circumstances where a pitcher or outfielder can miss 50 or more games. In that case, managers have to find a more permanent solution. Let’s take as an example Charlie Morton’s injury in Game 1 of the 2021 World Series. Atlanta took the lead against Houston, breaking the home soil advantage with a 6-2 win; although, the Braves’ starter fractured his fibula. Ηe deemed out for the remainder of the series, so Atlanta needed to change the pitching rotation.

👉Key stats: Our tipsters advise all the reliable and official stats sources, analyzing what a pitcher can do from the mound or the number of runs a team can score. Every day we break down the stats table for offensive skills, such as at-bat, batting average, caught stealing, and extra-base hits. Moreover, we check the advanced stats leaders in pitching, evaluating the ERA, WHIP, earned runs, and innings pitched progress. Our MLB predictions include special selections based on data, like moneylines and run lines for 5-inning betting. Especially for the Wild Card games and World Series, where the markets are numerous, that process can give high-value bets.

What do we explore before posting MLB Predictions

betting types on politicsBetting on baseball’s 2-way markets, it’s not so easy as it seems. We do not like backing favourites at 1.50 (-200) odds or lower. We analyze all the available markets, but our tipsters mainly focus on run lines and totals on their MLB predictions. Except for the main critical statistical info, like H2H results and current form, we also take into account less critical factors.

✔️ Top MLB rivalries: The Boston Red Sox vs. the New York Yankees remains one of the most intense and fierce rivalries across all major sports. The million-dollar question is, “Does the public care?” Some bettors are wagering based on emotion. A Red Sox fan will probably not place a bet against Boston before a matchup against the Yankees. We will evaluate their rivalry only if they play for the Wild Cards, as it happens in 2021, or the Championship series.

✔️ Weather conditions: We have the deep knowledge to analyze the weather factor before games in every ballpark. Betting on the Chicago Cubs on Wrigley Field, you should wait even a few hours before the first pitch. Phenomena like winds influence the stadium, so we take the information about the weather conditions in Chicago before we post Over/Under MLB picks. You should always have in mind that baseball is a summer sport. Secondly, there are ballparks with retractable roofs, like Houston Astros’ Minute Maid Park, where the weather has no impact on the games.

✔️ Doubleheaders: Athletes face the fatigue factor all the time in their career, playing games almost every day for a seven-month period. Our experts focus mainly on doubleheaders, where the managers try to field competitive batting lineups and bullpens only in one of two successive games on the same day. Our MLB predictions for that type of contest are determined by each team’s news and starting pitchers.

How to make MLB Picks for Winners

Moneylines seem the simplest way to bet on baseball, as it happens in all sports with two probable outcomes. Reading our guide, you can understand how we make our MLB picks for all available daily and future markets. After all, baseball is a statistics-heavy nature sport.

👉Pitching analysis: New York Mets’ Jakob deGrom has reached 185 games as a starting pitcher on April 10, 2021. Now, you can take a look at a unique stat. He has allowed in that number of games one or no runs 87 times; untouchable, indeed. Pitching is a big part of moneyline and handicapping baseball. Selecting a listed pitcher for his high skills and good stats means that you are backing his team.

Before we post our MLB picks, we analyze the earned run average (ERA); a number that expresses how many runs a defender gives up per nine innings. Solid pitchers have a lower ERA than 3.00. Furthermore, our experts examine each player’s WHIP (i.e., Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched). It’s a better KPI than ERA because it takes every opponent batter into account. WHIP counts the scoring chances a pitcher creates for the opposite side and how often he loads the bases.

👉Consensus factor: Public opinion is a part of betting worldwide, but we make no MLB betting picks based only on that factor. We check every matchup’s consensus, evaluating the odds and each contender’s real winning chances. Taking as an example Game 2 for the 2021 World Series between Houston and Atlanta, you can check that the slight favourite’s consensus was 49%, while Braves had 51%. The Astros have lost Game 1 in their field, although bettors weren’t sure about their win at Game 2. Comparing that with the offered odds (i.e., 1.96 for Atlanta and 1.89 for Houston), you can understand an agreement between bookies and bettors on Braves winning chances.

MLB Betting Picks for Totals & Run Lines

Betting on total runs and run lines is a challenging part of your potential baseball strategy. Analyzing the pitching factor above and the batter-friendly ballparks, we have covered a massive percentage of the process we follow to release our MLB betting tips. The remainder refers to the line movements and when we have to face betting trends on baseball lines. Making the focus on the lines, checking the opening handicaps and odds might be helpful when wagering on totals and runs lines. A probable injury of the starting pitcher can affect that situation as the main reason; that’s why we post our MLB betting picks 9 to 12 hours before the first pitch.

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FAQ
Q: Where can you find MLB predictions for this week?

Every day from spring training to October’s World Series, our tipsters release MLB predictions for the most important matchups, seeking the best odds in all popular baseball markets.

Q: How do we release our baseball predictions for MLB?

From exhibition games for Cactus and Grapefruit Leagues to World Series, we analyze all the stats, the ballparks’ effect, and the injury or suspension news. Generally, we examine all the factors influencing the games before posting picks on moneylines, totals, and run lines.

Q: Αre MLB Parlays profitable?

Parlays or ACCAs is a popular bet type that combines individual bets on the same wager. Undoubtedly, you can receive higher payouts from MLB parlays, but you should remember that one loss is enough to do damage to your bet.

Q: Can umpire stats help for releasing MLB betting tips?

Umpire stats have increased popularity among analysts when it comes to baseball betting. Some umps have tight or wider strike zones, facts that can affect the number of walks, hits, and runs. So, their stats are valuable for advanced tipsters.

Q: Why are the F5 bets more popular among bettors?

Starters on the mound play a massive role when it comes to 5-innings betting lines. Wagering on these baseball markets, you simplify the game. Most bullpens that consist of relief pitchers go into the field for the last three or four innings. So, F5 betting might be more profitable than full game betting because you subtract the bullpen effect from the final result.

Q: What should you look after when following MLB betting picks?

Before posting our MLB betting tips, we monitor the odds, the teams’ injuries and suspensions, and the main statistical data (i.e., H2H games, current form, etc.). Then, we examine the advanced stats for pitchers and batters, tracking probable line movements.

Q: What is the most batter-friendly ballpark in the MLB?

Batting on the Coors Field, the home of the Colorado Rockies, it’s a dream for all baseball offensive players who enjoy great numbers there. Due to its location in the Rocky Mountains, Colorado’s home venue has traditionally produced a high number of runs. Although, from 2019, due to increased total lines at 11 or 12 runs, the successful Over MLB picks have been reduced.

Q: Where are the MLB future odds posted for the next season?

The MLB odds for the next season’s World Series are posted from the leading bookmakers when the previous season ends. As closer as you get to the World Series, the shortest odds you get for the top contenders.

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