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Champions League Final 2021 Preview, Odds & Predictions

The UEFA Champions League Final 2021 will be held at the 16,500-strong crowd Estadio Dragao on Saturday, 29th of May (21:00 CET), between Manchester City and fellow English Premier League side Chelsea, the 66th European Champions Cup final edition. London’s Blues look forward to lifting the trophy after the triumph of 2012, while Josep Guardiola’s men seek the highest honor reaching the UCL Final for the first time in their history. The match will be the third tournament’s all-English final after 2008 and 2019, with Manchester City’s and Chelsea’s fans sharing 5,800 tickets per club due to Covid-19 restrictions.

Read on our betting preview and discover our released Champions League Final predictions and picks. Υou can eventually find out where and how to bet on the Manchester City vs. Chelsea by exploring high-value bets based on the latest team news.

Where to bet on the Champions League Final

Underneath, you can find a list that includes the best UCL Final bookmakers to place bets on the Full-Time Result market, Asian Handicaps, and Totals with the highest odds.

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Champions League Final: Manchester City team news & lineup

manchester cityManchester City booked the tickets to Estadio Dragao, Porto, with a 4-1 aggregate victory over 2020s runners-up Paris Saint Germain. Josep Guardiola’s men confirmed their status as the English Premier League’s Champions and EFL Cup’s Winners, seeking a treble of trophies in a single season. The last team who reached a continental treble was Bayern Munchen in 2020, winning the German Bundesliga, the DFB-Pokal and the previous Champions League Final. Manchester City will try to be the second English team to triumph after Sir Alex Ferguson’s Manchester United in 1999 (UCL, Premier League, FA Cup).

The Citizens won eleven matches from a total of twelve, drawing only once against Porto (0-0) at Estadio Dragao for the group stage. Riyad Mahrez and Ferran Torres are the tournament’s top scorers for the English side, netting four goals each. Premier League’s Champions were brilliant in offense with 25 goals scored, showing a defensive solidity with only four goals conceded so far. They won Group C (Porto, Olympiacos, and Marseille, the other participants) and qualified for the Champions League Final 2021 posted two wins against Monchengladbach (4-0 aggregate at neutral ground) and Dortmund (4-2 total). Manchester City seals a place in the UCL Final, winning French Paris Saint Germain twice.

Manchester City Tactics & Key Players

ManagerGuardiola’s motivation to win the second Champions League trophy of his managerial career after the 2011s triumph as the coach of Barcelona is enormous. His plan for quadruple has been ruined on the 17th of April when Chelsea exclude Manchester City from FA Cup’s semi-final with a 1-0 win at Wembley. The Catalonian coach will not change his tactics and the approach in general only for one match, even if these 90 minutes or more are critical for the club’s history. The system with a false-nine forward had a massive effect this season, with five players served this challenging role. Riyad Mahrez, Phil Foden, Kevin De Bruyne are top-class attackers. Still, they receive great help from prolific teammates Bernardo Silva and Ilkay Gundogan, who scored 13 goals only in the Premier League.

Manchester City’s tactician prefers a 4-3-3 formation, and he is unlikely to change the system for the Champions League Final 2021 using three defenders. So, Enderson will be the goalkeeper, with Stones and Dias build the duo at central defense. Cancelo or Walker and Zinchenko are the top contenders for right and left-back, while Bernardo Silva, Rodri and Gundogan will be the English side’s heart in midfield. Mahrez, Foden, and Kevin De Bruyne will probably consist of the offensive line with Gabriel Jesus, and Ferran Torres considered as substitutes.

UCL Final - Manchester City: Injury & ban report

Josep Guardiola’s side has a clean bill of injury and bans issues once more this season. Ilkay Gundogan is fit, Aguero scored twice on Premier League’s last matchday coming from the bench, so Manchester City has a full squad for the Champions League’s grand final.

Champions League Final: Chelsea team news & lineup

ChelseaChelsea stopped last season’s Champions League route at the Last 16 Round losing from Bayern. Still, this season significantly impacts the tournament seeking the second trophy after the 2012 triumph. The Blues won eight matches, drawing three and losing only one from a total of twelve with 22 goals scored and four against. They won Group E (Sevilla, Krasnodar, and Rennes, the other participants), reaching the Champions League Final 2021, beating Atletico Madrid (3-0 on aggregate), Porto (2-1 total), overcoming the 13-time Champions Real Madrid in the semi-finals (3-1 on aggregate).

Chelsea’s officials’ decision to sack Frank Lampard over the winter period brought Tomas Tuchel on charge. The German tactician, who lost last season’s UCL Final from Bayern as PSG boss, changed almost everything, creating a solid defense and straightforward principles in the field. Still, beaten only five times in Tuchel’s era, Chelsea lost 1-0 in the FA Cup Final from Leicester, at Wembley, on the 15th of May. The London-based club secured a ticket for the next UCL tournament getting 4th place in the Premier League's 2020/21 campaign. Still, the main target is to repeat the 2012 glory when Blues won the trophy, changing their manager mid-season (i.e., when Di Matteo replaced Villas-Boas).

Chelsea Tactics & Key Players

ManagerChelsea’s first goalscorer in the tournament, Olivier Giroud (6 goals), is primarily an unused substitute in Tuchel’s plans. The German manager tries to improve Havertz’s and Werner’s prolificity, having a main tactical approach based on defense at the same time. The Blues try to dominate the midfield, having the exceptional Kante who influences his skills, stamina and simplicity. Tomas Tuchel will apply the same strategy on the UCL Final 2021, planning to break down at the back of defense and create winning chances at the other end zone. Chelsea won twice Manchester City this season (i.e., 1-0 at the FA Cup semi-final and 2-1 at Etihad on the 8th of May for Premier League), suffering a 3-1 loss at Stamford Bridge on 3rd of January under Frank Lampard’s charge.

Indeed, Tuchel will approach the Champions League Final with a 3-4-2-1 formation based on three central defenders. These places have Thiago Silva and Rudiger as top contenders, with Christensen, Zouma and James as the leading candidates for the third one. Mendy will be the starting goalie, with Azpilicueta covering the right side if James turns back in defense. Kante and Jorginho will be the masterminds in the midfield, while Chilwell is the great favorite to cover the left side on the field. Pulisic or Ziyech and Mount will comprise the attacking line, probably along with Werner, with Havertz as an underdog at starting eleven.

UCL Final - Chelsea: Injury & ban report

Tomas Tuchel is optimistic that Edouard Mendy will be fit to pull on the gloves against Manchester City. The German tactician replaced his injured first-choice goalkeeper at half-time against Aston Villa on Premier League’s final day. N’Golo Kante missed the match at Birmingham with a thigh issue, but he’s also expected to be a starter.

Best Champions League Final Special Bets

Best Champions League betting promotions today The reliable sportsbooks that provide pre-match and in-play betting offer specialized markets for the UCL Final 2021 to attract bettors who chase higher odds and seek to earn profit betting lower stakes. Special Bets include markets such as first and last goalscorers, the number of corners and booking points, and penalty options like scoring or winning this type of free kicks. Manchester City and Chelsea have on their roster quality and experienced players who try to play at the opposite box and defenders who have troubles facing them. So, the penalties markets have betting value in the Champions League Final. You shouldn’t forget that VAR affects the number of penalties awarded and overturned also.

red arrowYou can discover the eleven Citizens’ players who won or conceded a penalty kick this season in all competitions in the table below.

Manchester City / Players Penalty Kicks Won Penalty Kicks Conceded
Ruben Dias 0 2
Raheem Sterling 3 0
Ilkay Gundogan 1 0
Kyle Walker 0 3
Kevin De Bruyne 2 0
Gabriel Jesus 1 1
Aymeric Laporte 0 1
Ferran Torres 1 0
Benjamin Mendy 0 1
Nathan Ake 0 1
Eric Garcia 0 1

 

red arrowYou can find the eight London-based club players who won or conceded a penalty kick in the 2020/21 season in all competitions in the underneath table.

Chelsea / Players Penalty Kicks Won Penalty Kicks Conceded
Mason Mount 2 0
Edouard Mendy 0 1
Timo Werner 6 0
Reece James 0 1
Kai Havertz 2 0
Tammy Abraham 2 0
Olivier Giroud 1 0
Billy Gilmour 0 1
Jorginho 0 1

 

✔️ Our prediction: You can find two Special Bets based on penalties in all leading betting sites for Champions League Final 2021. The option of Manchester City to score a penalty kick in 90 minutes or extra time pays at 5.50 odds, and the exact pick on Chelsea gives a payout at 8.00 odds.

Best Champions League Final odds on Manchester City to Win

Champions League enhanced oddsThe Citizens are a team that it’s pretty hard to find weak points, so the Champions League Final odds on Josep Guardiola’s side is normal to deem as a favorite. You can find Manchester City to win in 90 minutes at 1.95 average odds in the leading betting sites, and the ugly truth is one; it’s hard to bet against this team. This season’s Premier League campaign proved that the other clubs weren’t consistent enough to catch and beat them. It will be a massive weapon for the English Champions to score a goal in the first half and increase the pressure on their opponents. The possibility of Manchester City winning at half-time pays at 2.60 odds. Read on the table below and see the Citizens’ impressive key stats in all competitions.

Man City Matches Wins Draws Loses GF GA Goals Difference
UCL 12 11 1 0 25 4 21
PL 38 27 5 6 83 32 51
FA Cup 5 4 0 1 11 3 8
EFL Cup 5 5 0 0 12 2 10

 

If you believe that Manchester City will win Porto’s UCL final match against Chelsea with a score margin higher than one goal, get the advice from our underneath table and choose your preferred Asian Handicap betting on the Citizens. For example, you can increase your payout at 3.30 odds if you place an AH (-1.0,-1.5).

Goal Difference Stats Manchester City / Winning Games
1-Goal Difference 15
2-Goal Difference 17
3-Goal Difference 11
4-Goal Difference 1
5-Goal Difference 3

 

Best Champions League Final odds on Chelsea to Win

Champions League enhanced oddsThe season’s review for Chelsea isn’t an easy case because the Blues change their entire playing theory after Lampard’s dismissal. The English tactician led the London-based club to a fourth-place finish in the 2019/20 Premier League campaign and managed to integrate Academy’s players like Mount, James, and Abraham, the first squad’s high-profile members now. Tuchel transforms Chelsea into a well-defending team, but here is a main disadvantage for the Blues; to increase their chances of winning the title, they should be more aggressive and prolific at scoring goals.

Chelsea is the underdog at the Champions League Final, giving a 4.15 odds payout to win in 90 minutes. Tuchel’s side pays 17.00 odds to lift the trophy in extra time and 12.00 at penalty shootouts for some bettors who seek higher odds. Read on the underneath table and explore Chelsea’s critical stats for the 2020/21 season in all competitions.

Chelsea Matches Wins Draws Loses GF GA Goal Difference
UCL 12 8 3 1 22 4 18
PL 38 19 10 9 58 36 22
FA Cup 6 5 0 1 11 2 9
EFL Cup 2 1 0 1 7 1 6

 

If you believe Chelsea can score at the Champions League Final, you can choose and place a wide range of bets based on this possibility. The Both Teams To Score market pays at 2.00 odds, while the same bet for half-time gives a 5.50 payout. The Over 2,5 goal line offers higher odds at 2.30, and if you want to risk a place bet on Chelsea’s goal, the Over 1.5 gives a 3.75 payout. Check these selections’ value at the table below, and find out when the Blues used to score this season.

Minute GF Percentage
0-15 10 9,28%
15-30 17 17,53%
30-45 14 14,43%
45-60 15 15,46%
60-75 17 17,53%
75-90 25 25,77%
> 90 0 0%

 

Champions League Rules & Final Referees

red arrowThe Champions League Final 2021 will be played at the Estadio Dragao after UEFA decides to switch the venue due to covid restrictions. The game was initially intended to be held at the Olympic Stadium of Istanbul.

red arrowThe match duration is 90 minutes and 30 minutes extra time if the final result is a draw. If the score is still level after the extra time, penalty shootouts will decide the winner. Manchester City and Chelsea can name twelve substitutes, using five of them in 90 minutes with a sixth allowed in extra time.

red arrowUEFA named Antonio Mateu Lahoz (Spain) as the Champions League Final referee and his fellow countrymen Pau Cebrian Devis and Roberto Diaz Perez del Palomar as assistants. Lahoz will be joined by Carlos del Cerro Grande (Fourth Official), Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (VAR), Juan Martinez Munuera, Inigo Prieto Lopez de Cerain from Spain, and Pawel Gil, Poland, as VAR Assistants.

Full Bookmakers List for Champions League Final

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Champions League Final Predictions & Odds

Manchester City dominates the Final Result market at 1.95 average odds to lift the trophy in 90 minutes, while the draw pays 3.40 odds and Chelsea 4.15 to win. The Citizens reach eleven wins in the recent tournament, and Josep Guardiola’s side has won four of their last seven matches against Chelsea for all competitions. Chelsea has one of the most formidable defenses under Tomas Tuchel, but the Blues should find at least one goal to withstand the pressure in this UCL Final.

A great chance is offered to Manchester City to take the first Champions League trophy, and you can double your starting stake if Premier League’s Champions achieve it in 90 minutes. If you want to bet on Totals, the prices at Over/Under markets are higher based on the 2,5 goal line (2.30 odds) than Both Teams To Score market at 2.00, so this selection seems to have value. Here are our top Champions League Final predictions:

✔️ UCL Final / Full-Time Result ⏩ Manchester City to Win @1.95 (19/20) odds.
✔️ UCL Final / Goal Totals ⏩ Manchester City vs. Chelsea Over 2,5 goals @2.30 (13/10) odds.

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