The 2023 UEFA Europa Conference League final will be held at the Arena Kombetare in Tirana, Albania on 25th May (21:00 CET). It’s the first final of this new competition, with Roma of Italy up against the Dutch club Feyenoord. Jose Mourinho is looking to deliver a trophy in his debut season, which would be Roma’s first European title since lifting the Fairs Cup back in 1961. Feyenoord is looking to win their fourth UEFA trophy, having won the European Cup once and the UEFA Cup twice.
With both clubs having finished outside the Champions League spots in their respective domestic leagues, this is a chance to end the campaign on a high, with a place in next season’s Europa League at stake. In this preview, you’ll find Europa Conference League Final betting tips, along with an analysis of tactics and team news.
Europa Conference League Final Betting Tips & Odds
It’s Roma that is expected to win the trophy. The odds on the Italians are 1.73, while Feyenoord pays at 2.50. When it comes to 90 minutes, Roma is priced at 2.33, Feyenoord is 3.15 and the draw is 3.52. Feyenoord has an unbeaten record across their twelve games in the competition (W8 D4), while Roma has suffered two defeats from their twelve matches (W7 D3 L2).
So, with Feyenoord having the better win percentage, it suggests that it won’t be as easy a night for Roma, as the odds may suggest. The quality of Roma and the experience of their manager Mourinho make them the rightful favourites, yet their price is a little too slim to be considered good value. Backing them to win the trophy outright at 1.73, or cautiously in the Draw No Bet market at 1.7, makes more sense.
Making Europa Conference League Final betting tips on the goals markets is not easy. On one hand, you have the conservative Mourinho, whose Roma side was able to contain Leicester to just one goal from two legs of their semi-finals. Then there is Feyenoord, who has been involved in goal-laden matches throughout this competition. The nous of Mourinho may mean that this final is played on his terms, which would make under 2.5 goals value at 2.04.
UECL Final - Match Result: Roma To Lift The Trophy @ 1.73 (8/11) odds.
UECL Final - Goals Totals: Roma vs. Feyenoord Under 2.5 Goals @2.00 (Evens) odds.
Where to Bet on the 2023 UECL Final
The best odds can be found at the online bookmakers below. We picked them due to them delivering industry-leading prices on key markets, such as Match Result, Lift the Trophy and Over/Under goals. Here are our top choices, for where you should place your Europa Conference League final bets.
Most popular Europa Conference League Final bets
There is a range of options when it comes to betting on this final. Naturally, there are certain markets that attract the most attention. The most obvious examples are the aforementioned match result and over/under, which are bets that can be combined. On the subject of goals, naming the first, last and anytime scorers is always popular and that is likely to be the case once more. Feyenoord’s Cyriel Dessers has ten goals, with Roma’s Tammy Abraham just behind him with nine. Both teams to score is a relatively short price at 1.74, due to the fact that it has landed in ten of Feyenoord’s twelve games in this competition.
Yet with Roma having kept clean sheets in two of their last three Conference League matches, bettors may be attracted to the opposite at 2.25 odds. In a battle between a swashbuckling Feyenoord team and a potentially conservative Roma, the correct score market looks like another fascinating one and related markets include the method of victory and handicap results. Here are the most popular markets for Europa Conference League Final bets.
Match Result & Over/Under: Roma, Feyenoord, or Draw & Over/Under 1,5 to 5,5.
To Score: Which players will score Anytime, or be the First Goalscorer, or the last Goalscorer.
Both Teams To Score: Will Roma and Feyenoord both score in the match, Yes/No.
Method of Victory: Roma or Feyenoord in Regular Time, Extra Time, or Penalties.
Europa Conference League Final Preview & Predictions
It’s time to move on to our preview section. Our experts have analysed the form of their respective teams, along with their path to the final and how they’ve fared domestically. Team news and a look into the upcoming tactical battles have also been taken into account.
Our aim is to bring you Europa Conference League Final predictions that deliver profitable bets for the match between Roma and Feyenoord, at the highest odds. The first part of our review begins with a look at Roma.
Best Europa League Final odds on Roma to Win
Though they started as one of the pre-season favourites to win this competition, it hasn’t always looked likely. Bodo/Glimt thrashed them 6-1 during the group stage and also won the first leg when the teams met again in the quarter-finals. Roma showed their mettle with a 4-0 home win against Glimt in the second-leg and kept another home clean sheet in the semi-final, when they beat Leicester 1-0, to go through 2-1 on aggregate.
Mourinho’s reputation has taken quite a battering in recent years. Though this is the most minor of UEFA’s club competitions, a victory in this match would help to rehabilitate that reputation and suggest that he is still a relevant force in the game, still able to deliver trophies. Everything in Mourinho’s career suggests that he will go about trying to claim a win, in a cautious manner.
The Portuguese legend has won the UEFA Cup/Europa League twice and the Champions League twice. In three of those four finals, Mourinho’s team have won to nil, which gives us plenty of options when it comes to the Europa Conference League final predictions. You can add value to a Roma win in 90 minutes, by adding under 2.5 or 3.5 goals or instead go for them to keep another clean sheet.
✔️ The Europa Conference League final odds of Roma winning to nil are 4.33
Roma News & Lineup
The two-legged semi-final against Leicester was almost the blueprint for a Mourinho team in such a situation. Taking an early lead through Lorenzo Pellegrini in the away leg, Roma survived an onslaught and emerged with a creditable 1-1 draw. Back in Rome, they once again struck early, with Tammy Abraham finding the net. Though Leicester continued to dominate possession, this time they found it harder to create meaningful chances and Roma was able to limit them to just two shots on target.
Despite having just 37% of the possession, Roma had more shots on goal (eleven to ten) and more on target (four to two) than Leicester. This bodes well for a final against a Feyenoord team that scores plenty of goals but also concedes them. Roma’s counter-attacking style may well snuff out the threat of the Dutch and even without the majority of possession, they are able to create chances and score.
✔️ The Europa Conference League Final odds of Roma winning in 90 minutes are 2.33 (11/8).
Tactics & Key Players
After playing with a back four earlier this season, Mourinho now seems settled on a 3-4-3 formation. This change has given Roma a better balance and though they are not the finished article defensively, they look more secure, with the 3-4-3 able to revert to a 3-6-1 or 5-4-1, when needed. It is Abraham who will spearhead the attack. After a slow start, the Englishman has had a fine debut season in Italy, scoring nine goals in 13 appearances in this competition.
Abraham was a player that Mourinho was keen to bring to Rome and his judgment has been proved right, with the striker being mobile, able to bring others into play and score goals. Abraham leads the markets on Europa Conference League Final predictions for goalscorers and can be backed at 2.2 to find the net at any time.
Injury & Ban Report
Roma has been handed a boost with the return of two key players. Nicolo Zaniolo was the hero of the second leg of the quarter-final against Bodo/Glimt when he scored a hat-trick in a 4-0 win. He’s shrugged off a muscle issue that saw him miss the recent match with Venezia.
Also back is the long-term absentee Leonardo Spinazzola, who performed so well in Italy’s winning Euro 2020 campaign. The right-footed, left-full-back, could be a major weapon for Mourinho now that he’s using a system that utilises wing-backs.
Best Europa League Final odds on Feyenoord to Win
It’s been a bumpy road to the final for Feyenoord, who though unbeaten in the competition since the group stage, have been involved in some roller-coaster games. They were 2-1 down in the second half of the first leg of their last-16 match against Partizan Belgrade, before winning 5-2, for example. Their quarter-final first-leg at home to Slavia Prague also saw both teams leading on occasion, before eventually ending 3-3. Feyenoord won 3-1 away, to clinch a 6-4 aggregate win.
In the semi-finals, they won 3-2 at home to Marseille and then held out at 0-0 in the second leg, to clinch their place in the final. Feyenoord also drew their first game of the group stage 0-0 away at Maccabi Haifa, but the other ten of their twelve Conference League matches saw goals from both sides.
Even with two 0-0 draws, Feyenoord’s twelve matches have averaged 3.58-goals per game. Anyone making Europa Conference League Final predictions involving a Feyenoord win might as well involve lots of goals as part of the equation. This game looks set to either be a low scoring win for Roma, or an entertaining victory for Feyenoord, with goals from both teams.
✔️ Our expert tipsters making Europa Conference League Final predictions suggest backing Feyenoord and over 2.5 goals at 5.00 (4/1) if going for a Dutch win.
Feyenoord News & Lineup
Is a Dutch side capable of beating a top Italian club in 2023? Both the Eredivisie and Serie A have weakened in recent years. Yet while Inter’s 2010 Champions League win was the last European trophy won by an Italian team, you have to go back to Feyenoord’s UEFA Cup victory in 2002, for the most recent Dutch triumph.
Feyenoord has had a reasonably kind passage to the final. In the group stage, they met a Bundesliga side, but it was Union Berlin’s first season in Europe for 20 years. Feyenoord’s other opponents en route to the semi came from Israel, Serbia and the Czech Republic. Then they faced Marseille and it was the French club that were favourites to progress.
Having upset the odds in the semi, can Feyenoord do so again in the final? Their performances against elite Dutch clubs suggest they have a chance. Feyenoord was unbeaten against PSV this season (P2 W1 D1) and though they lost their two games against Ajax, they were narrow defeats.
✔️ The Europa Conference League Final odds for Feyenoord to win in 90 minutes, extra time, or penalties are 2.50.
Tactics & Key Players
The Feyenoord manager Arne Slot will go with a 4-2-3-1 formation. The key performer in defence is centre-back Marcos Senesi, who has been linked with a summer move to Roma. In front of the back four, the midfield two should be Fredrik Aursnes and Orkun Kokcu. In the attacking midfield three, the on-loan will Ryan Nelson will start on the right if fit.
Guus Til has 21 goals from his position as the number ten, while on the left Luis Sinisterra has contributed six goals and four assists during this European campaign. Leading the line will be the competition’s top scorer, Dessers. The Nigeria international has scored 20 goals this season, of which ten have come in this competition.
✔️ If your Europa Conference League final predictions foresee a Dutch victory, a Feyenoord win and both teams scoring 6.00 (5/1).
Injury & Ban Report
Regular goalkeeper Justin Bijlow has been out since March, so Ofir Marciano should continue between the posts. There are also concerns in defence, with his left-back Tyrell Malacia and centre-back Gernot Trauner both having picked up hamstring injuries that have made their involvement a doubt.
Another player who Slot is awaiting positive news on is Nelson, who suffered a knock in the recent match against PSV. The good news for Slot is that the Dutch season ended a week earlier than the Serie A campaign, leaving plenty of time for recovery.
How to Bet on Europa Conference League Final
Besides our Europa Conference League Final betting tips, we also recommend doing your own research. With the right information, you can make your own Europa Conference League Final betting tips. Analyse the following information to make your own informed choices.
The performances of referee Istvan Kovacs in reference to bookings markets.
Study the disciplinary statistics for Roma and Feyenoord to compare with bookings odds.
How has Roma fared against Dutch clubs in recent seasons and Feyenoord against Serie A sides?
Look at average corners taken/conceded for both teams, for corners markets.
Where is the money going? If the match result odds are shifting, is there a reason? Check team news and look into the reason behind the change.
Full Bookmakers List for the UECL Final 2023
In the list below, you’ll find our recommended sportsbooks for Europa Conference League Final bets. They have the broadest range of markets and the best odds.