Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe betting tips 2023

The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is one of the most famous horse races in the world. It is a Group 1 weight-for-age Flat stakes race at the Hippodrome de Longchamp in Pari's Bois de Boulogne. Gambling on it can be challenging since it contains several top runners across the world. Read on to learn all about the Arc horse race, its' significance, what the key trials are and which horses its' terms favour. Discover Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe betting tips and trends that keep you one step ahead of the bookies. Only then will you know how to find value in Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds.

Best Prix de 'Arc de Triomphe betting sites

Without further ado, we present you the top 3 bookmakers to bet on the Arc horse race. These bookies were selected by evaluating the payouts for the race, how many places they pay, and the variety of markets they offer: 

What is the Arc de Triomphe race course like

Longchamp hosts over half the Group 1 horse races in France each year. There are several tracks used depending on the distance, and all are configured clockwise (right-handed), but the Arc de Triomphe racecourse is one of the most testing. It is because there is hill down the back straight for horses to climb and three home turns. The second of those bends brings horse and jockey into a false straight as they must take another corner about half a mile from the winning post.

Held on the first Sunday in October, it is the culmination of a two-day event that sees the horses race over a distance of about a mile-and-a-half (2.4km). In addition, as per the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe race card, it is open to colts, entire horses, fillies, and mares aged three and up, but not geldings.

How do race terms influence the Arc de Triomphe betting

The terms of the race can shape the Arc betting since horses of different genders and ages carry different weights. This is because of the principle of weight for age, which is used as an incentive to attract three-year-olds. Fillies and mares also receive a sex allowance from their male counterparts. The Arc de Triomphe race conditions specify the weight carried as follows:

⏩ Older colts and horses: 9st 5lb

⏩ Older fillies and mares: 9st 2lb

⏩ Three-year-old colts: 8st 13lb

⏩ Three-year-old fillies: 8st 9lb

Which trial races influence the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting

Virtually any top-class race in Europe over a mile-and-a-quarter or mile-and-a-half can shape the ante post betting for the Arc de Triomphe. For that reason, online bookmakers will react to Group 1 wins in the UK, France, Germany and Ireland by cutting the odds of their winners. There are also official trials at Longchamp itself, which can be found on the table below:

Whatever horse Frankie Dettori rides is sure to attract support in the Arc de Triomphe betting. The Italian jockey has ridden three winners, a second and a third in the race over the last five years. He is also the most successful in the race’s history with six victories. Olivier Peslier is the most successful active French jockey with four wins, while Christophe Soumillon has two successes and several placed efforts. Ryan Moore is the best of British riders still competing with two victories.

In terms of trainers, John Gosden has saddled three of the last five Arc winners. However, the Newmarket handler is some way behind Andre Fabre, who has sent eight different horses to victory in this out of his stables. Finally, master Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the Arc twice but memorably saddled a 1-2-3 in 2016.

The owner to follow in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting is Prince Khalid Abdullah. His world-famous Juddmonte Farms colors of light green with a pink sash and cap and white sleeves have been carried to victory six times. That is a joint record. Other owners to look out for include the all-blue Godolphin colors, the Aga Khan’s silks of green with red trim and/or sash, and anything in the Coolmore partners’ colors of Sue Magnier, Derrick Smith, and Michael Tabor.

How can draw bias affect the Arc de Triomphe betting odds

You may be wondering how the draw can shape the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting odds. The answer is based on statistical analysis. Discounting the 2016 and 2017 renewals, as these were run at Chantilly racecourse, horses drawn low have had more success than those coming out of a gate with a high number.

Bookmakers know this trend, so horses favored by this draw are shortened in the Arc de Triomphe betting. Although a bad draw is not as challenging to overcome in this race as a sprint would be, the stats show that eight of the last ten winners at Longchamp came out of stalls numbered between one and eight.

What other Arc de Triomphe betting trends should I know

Favorites have a poor record in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, with just five winning this century. That stat is not a great advert for backing them. The horse at the head of the Arc de Triomphe betting has only won a quarter of the renewals since 2000. It should pay to look beyond the leading fancy, then.

Fillies have a particularly good recent record. They make for a much better bet in the Arc de Triomphe horse race because terms favor them. Since 2008, eight of the last 12 renewals have been won by a filly. There is a 50-50 split in terms of age between three-year-olds and ones that were four. The list includes multiple winners Treve and Enable.

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting tips 2023

Based on the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting, who do our experts think is value to win this most famous of French horse races? An ante-post market is available for most of the year with some online bookmakers, so you can get your wagers on early. Who are among the fancied runners we like in the Arc de Triomphe betting this year?

Alpinista: to Win @5/1

Despite being a 5-year-old, Aplinista has proven itself a cut above horses of its own horses as well as younger ones.  This is why it is easy to see why it is a favourite in the antepost betting for the Arc de Triomphe. Trained in the UK by Mark Prescott, it boasts an excellent record in Flat racing events. Its experience is the main reason why we prefer it over market leader Luxembourg.  

La Parisienne: Each Way @15/1

For those looking for a value each-way alternative in the Arc de Triomphe betting, La Parisienne has already shown early signs of brilliance. When tackling a longer distance, this three-year-old pulled away impressively from a Group 2 field at Deauville and has placed several other times. If making further progress over this trip, its antepost odds of 15/1 look massive, and he can have a say in the Arc finish.

Should I use ante-post betting for the Arc de Triomphe

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting is available for most of the year. Picking the right time to place your wagers is critical. Waiting until the day may secure you extra places. This is great for each-way bets, but what if bookmakers have shortened the horse you fancy? This is where using the ante post betting for the Arc de Triomphe can be your advantage.

Is there value in betting for the Arc de Triomphe

Yes, there is value in the Arc de Triomphe betting, but there are many factors you need to consider when looking for it. What weight will your fancied horse carry? If terms favor it, then the market will reflect that. Has it won, or is it running in a recognized trial for the Arc horse race? The bookies may slash its odds if so. What is the draw like? You can’t know that weeks or months in advance, so you are gambling on it, getting a low number stall as much as winning the race.

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting trends suggest you should be way of the favourite. Therefore, you'd better support fillies aged three or four. Any stats you can find to help you narrow the field down to a shortlist as the season progresses can only be a good thing. Not all recent Arc winners have gone to Longchamp on the back of a win. Don’t discount those who lost a race. In conclusion, getting your bets on early in the ante-post market and each way remains the best value approach to it.