Tyson Fury vs Deontay Wilder 3 betting guide

A few weeks after Anthony Joshua’s loss against Oleksandr Usyk in a heavyweight championship fight, we’ll be seeing a potentially even bigger heavyweight fight, Tyson Fury vs Deontay Wilder 3. The two champs are clashing for the third time on Saturday, October 9, in T-Mobile Arena. The first fight between the two came to a draw, while the second fight had to be stopped due to the bad damage that Fury caused Wilder, crowning the Gypsy King as the heavyweight champion of the Ring and WBC boxing organizations. The Deontay Wilder record of 42-1 with 41 wins by knockouts is equally as impressive as the Fury's undefeated record of 30-0 with 21 wins by TKO. What separates the two is that the Bronze Bomber has pure knockout power with a 93% TKO percentage. This still stands as the best that a heavyweight champion ever had. The Gypsy King is the more technical fighter whose unorthodox style can keep his opponent guessing.

It will be the first fight for both sides in 2021 and is arguably the top boxing event of the year. The hype has been building up, and the tension between the two fighters is peaking. A few months ago, they had an intense staredown during media day, which lasted 5 minutes, and coaches had to intervene and prevent things from escalating. Wilder claims to be reborn after his loss to Tyson Fury and that this is the most focused and locked-in he has ever been throughout his career. After firing his former coach Mark Breland, he is now trained under the guidance of former heavyweight fighter and family friend Malik Scott. Mark Breland said that the relationship between the two before the second fight had hit rock bottom and that Wilder was untrainable. Wilder seems to have great chemistry and is in sync with his new coach. He is very receptive, and in a recent Deontay Wilder interview, he claims to be taking Scott’s advice very seriously.

It will be interesting to see whether Deontay learned from his loss against Fury and adjusted accordingly. We saw that Fury clearly improved between the first and second fight, while the Bronze Bomber stayed quite the same. His unwillingness to take advice definitely hurt him. However, it seems like his last loss rang some bells for Wilder and made him realize that it’s time to mix up the strategy. Deontay Wilder's age is potentially an issue; he is 35 years old. It will be hard to teach an old dog new tricks. Therefore, he will need to sharpen the weapons he has already been using. On the other side, Fury claims to be in the best shape of his life, trains twice a day, six times a week and spars for twelve rounds with some of the top heavyweights in the world. Only a few days remain before determining whether Fury will remain undefeated or the Bronze Bomber has some other plans. But how does all the above translate into a betting level? Where will the bettors find the best Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury betting odds for this epic battle?

Where to bet on Wilder vs Fury

Fury vs Wilder betting odds and prediction

It’s now time to assess and get to the odds of this boxing fight. Tyson Fury is the clear favourite of the battle, and the average payout of him winning is 1.31. Although these odds indicate that it should be an easy night for Tyson Fury, it can't possibly be a walk in the park against the Bronze Bomber. Even Fury himself has claimed that Wilder is a lot better than any other top fighter in the division; he just can’t beat him. Considering what Fury has accomplished, he was technically superior in both fights and completely out-styled Wilder in the second fight. Throughout the two battles, the jab combined with the faints paid dividends, and the Gypsy King also used his size to his advantage. Tyson Fury's height advantage is also significant, giving him an extra 2-3 inches in length compared to Deontay Wilder’s wingspan. The key for the Gypsy King will be being defensively responsible and maintaining focus. He is known to have a good ring IQ, and he’s looking to slowly and steadily hurt Wilder and eventually get the win, either by TKO or decision.

Value bet on Deontay Wilder knockout

On the other side, there is a lot more value in betting on Wilder winning at 3.25 odds or winning with a knockout at a 4.00 payout. Realistically, looking at the 18.5 rounds combined in the two fights between Wilder and Fury, you can make a case that Wilder only won two rounds. This strongly suggests that Wilder needs a knockout to win. But that, of course, is not an inconceivable proposition for a ferocious 93% TKO finisher with the punching pedigree of Deontay Wilder. One clean right-hand punch can put even the toughest heavyweights to sleep. Fury has a tremendous elusive head and upper body movement, but his gigantic torso always provides a stationary target. It may serve Wilder well to find ways to deter Fury from applying pressure and instead leading the dance himself. During the last fight, Wilder didn’t have the eye of the tiger he usually has; it looked like something was off with him that day. This time he says that he’s coming into this fight laser-focused and determined at his mental and physical peak. Throughout this buildup, Wilder has displayed a more reserved persona and wants to let his hands do the talking.

Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury sports betting props

Another interesting bet for the fight is the total number of rounds to be played. The average Over/Under line is at 8.5. On the one side, we have the Bronze Bomber, who is clearly going for the signature Deontay Wilder knockout. And on the other side, we have Tyson Fury, who is not known to be necessarily a TKO artist but states he wants to win by a knockout again. If we look at the history between the two, the first fight went the distance, and interestingly Wilder scored two knockdowns during the 8th and 12th rounds, which could have easily ended the fight at those moments. During the second fight, Fury defeated Wilder by TKO in the 7th round. Considering all that, it would make more sense for the battle to last less than 8.5 rounds.

Tyson Fury vs Deontay Wilder special betting types and odds boost

You can get the best possible payout by combining the winner of the fight with the round in which he will win. For example, if you pick a Tyson Fury knockout in round 3, you get 19.00 odds. If you choose Deontay Wilder to win in round 3, you get 29.00 odds. Those are, of course, high-risk/high-reward types of bets that you can sprinkle some of your budget on.

List of bookmakers to bet on the Fury vs Wilder fight