Close Bottom Menu CLOSE

Why join our Telegram

Telegram
  • list icon EXCLUSIVE Betting Bonuses
  • list icon 24/7 Pre-Match & Live Predictions
  • list icon New Unrestricted Bookmakers
  • list icon €1,000 In Monthly Giveaways
Join Our Community
Telegram

How To Place Winning Last Minute Bets

Are you patient enough to watch a football match for 80 minutes without being tempted to risk a penny and make your move in the last minutes? If you’ve managed to attain such self-control, you’re inches away from claiming the "holy grail" of sports betting. Making a living from punting. According to well-hidden bookie stats, the last moments of a football match, especially after the 80th minute, is the point where they rashly make live odds changes.

To make things simple, this is the right time to strike, as the bookmaker now has the same time pressure you had during the rest of the match. Think of it as a completely different match that lasts about 10-15 minutes and you start with the same possibilities as your opponent.

How to Get the Highest Odds Placing Last Minute Bets

BMB_Profits_GraphKeep in mind that bookies always will back their initial choice. Before you start putting your money on last minute bets, you should take your time observing the matches. Spend some time watching how the bookie behaves in a series of live betting matches. You’re going to notice quite a few interesting things, some of which will often contradict a logical conclusion or a specific odds pattern. Let’s look at an example. Suppose you are observing a match with a clear home favorite, offered at 1.50-1.60 odds before the match started.

As the match proceeds to halftime with both teams remaining deadlocked, the expected reaction from the bookie is to increase the odds for a home win and decrease the ones for a draw. This is simply the nature of the odds movement strategy during live play. However, this change occurs on a lesser scale than you’d expect, especially if you take into account the remaining time and, in many cases, how the teams are performing.

In general, bookies tend to stick by their initial estimation, so they'll rarely switch the odds towards the underdog. Unless there’s a fact that will crucially affect the match (i.e. a red card), the home win will still appear as the most prevalent result, at least according to the odd's implied probability. So, if the match remains goalless at halftime, the home win should have been offered at around 2.50. Strangely enough, this is not the case, as in most such matches, the home win odds won't surpass 2.00.


Also Read: What does cover bet mean?


Analyzing last minute bets odds

BMB_ListAt this point, you realize that the away win, which is still one goal away, has reached valued odds. The time is pressuring the bookie to lower the draw odds, but he has to stand by his initial view, so he can't increase the home team's odds to the height he should. In order to keep his commission to acceptable levels, he is forced to augment the away team's odds to an edge that is far more valuable compared to how the match is progressing.

There comes a point, though, where the bookie is forced to forfeit his initial view and has to follow the match's score and facts. The exact minute is not the same for every match, as it depends on the teams and what’s actually happening on the pitch. However, the usual tactic is to start adjusting the odds after the 70th minute in case a strong favorite has not managed to score so far and after the 80th minute in virtually any other match.

Finding the edge

BMB_AlternativesIf you spend some time observing the odds changes during in-play matches, you'll see that it's pretty easy to spot this “edge point”. After this adjustment takes place, you may find giant teams like Real Madrid or Manchester United being offered extraordinary odds to score a single goal and win the match simply. Think about it before you operate your late goals betting strategy. It’s all about time pressure. As the match draws to its close, bettors tend to place wagers on the current result (draw bets or no more goals to be scored). 

Unbeknown to them, they are putting this pressure on themselves as the odds keep lowering at a frantic pace, usually around every 30 seconds. That’s where the average punter will lose his composure and place a big stake on the draw odds as he feels he can't afford to miss a profitable opportunity. His mind is so bent on claiming these supposed high odds that he cares little about the value or how the match might be progressing.


Also Read: How to get the best English Premier League odds


Keep calm and think like a pro

BMB_FavouriteThe football betting techniques are really simple. Write down all the matches with a heavyweight favorite, clear up those that remain at a draw result (goalless draws are best, but a scored draw is almost the same) and place a bet by following the bookies' preferences before the match. You’ll be able to find double, maybe even triple odds, with usually 12 minutes of an all-out attacking game by the favorite. You can also do this with the underdog’s odds as well.

Bookies tend to boost the outsider odds even higher than the favorite, in their attempt to balance the commission. However, this type of strategy requires a large bankroll and a thorough understanding of how the underdog will respond after being pushed back in their own half. Math-wise tough, an underdog win priced at 12.00 odds during the last minute means you can afford to win only once in every 10 matches and still earn a profit.

Best Bookmakers For Last Minute Betting

BMB_Best IconBefore you place last minute bets, make a review of your analysis that can help you to create new ideas about other markets compared to your initial strategy. You can explore all the leading bookies in the list below with the best promotions and a great range of markets; it is a wise move you should make just before you risk money betting on comeback victories in play, favorites, or underdogs.

Join and grab exclusive bonuses, daily offers and free bets!

Lay hands on exclusive daily bonuses for members only. These promos are limited and are not advertised on the website.

Yes, I have read the Terms & Conditions and I consent to receiving emails from Bookmakers.bet regarding betting promotions, betting guides and news.

BOOK SPY
International Horse Racing Betting Sites Featured Image

Betting on horse racing started in the early 1600s in the UK, where people could wager on the final position of a runner. Since then, the sport has ga...

Read more »

How To Win With Ante Post Betting Featured Image

Ante post betting is placing wagers on futures or long-term markets at least one day before an event starts. It’s mostly associated with horse racing,...

Read more »

How to Open a Betting Account Featured Image

There are several reasons why players prefer online bookmakers instead of land-based shops. Besides the ease of use, the odds are higher, the variety ...

Read more »

Basketball Betting Markets Featured Image

Basketball, a sport that has surged in popularity among bettors in recent years offers many opportunities to turn a profit. Whether it’s the NBA or th...

Read more »

How Top Batsman Betting Works In Cricket Featured Image

Batsmen are the cornerstones of any cricket match, as their hits are definitive for the final result. It is no surprise that players like Viral Kohli,...

Read more »

Football Manager Betting Featured Image

The trend for football clubs to be impatient with their managers, if results are not good has created new betting opportunities. These days, you can p...

Read more »

Why and How Bookmakers Limit Your Betting account Featured Image

Let’s clear one thing from the beginning. You may find this article rather unconventional, as you’ll read information that is seldom mentioned on othe...

Read more »

The Fibonacci Betting System in Sports Featured Image

The Fibonacci betting system is one of the most popular negative progression staking plans in sports wagering. Essentially, you increase every bet aft...

Read more »

What Is A Good ROI & Yield In Betting Featured Image

Several bettors think that winning 50% or more of their bets means success and profits. In most cases, the winning percentage represents bettors’ prof...

Read more »

What is the Winning Margin in Basketball Featured Image

Do you want to find alternatives for moneylines and handicaps? Let’s answer the question, “What is the winning margin in basketball?” and then jump to...

Read more »

LATEST BOOKMAKER PROMOTIONS
bookmaker banner
bookmaker banner