We’re only days away from what promises to be the hottest political betting event before 2017 ends. The 2017 German Elections. Various analysts, political figures, journalists and everyday punters are already speculating on whether Angela Merkel will keep her role as chancellor, or if the time for change has come. We on bookmakers.bet have closely followed the latest German opinion polls and after a thorough research on the various betting sites, have found the best odds on who will win the election.
German Elections 2017 Odds
Most seats odds
The Christian Democratic Union and the Bavarian Christian Social Union will keep their political alliance and are the most likely candidates to win the German Federal Elections. This is clearly represented on the odds, as the highest you can find are 1/40 on Energybet. Martin Schulz’s Social Democrats (SPD) are second favorites, with odds as high as 20/1 on Bwin.
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) is one of the few parties with a right wing agenda and are highly anticipated to enter the parliament for the first time. Their odds for winning the Bundestagswahl 2017 have dropped significantly in the last couple of weeks, as around 27% of all punters are backing them at around 100/1 odds on Paddy Power & Unibet. An FDP, Die Linke, Greens or any other party win, is offered at around 200/1 odds, as they are expected to earn about 10% of all votes respectively.
Which parties will form the government
The CDU/CSU is unlikely to win a clear majority (+50% of votes), as polls put them at around the 39% mark. Consequently, their odds of becoming the single next ruling party stand at 18/1 on Betfair. The most likely scenario consists of a Christian Democrat – Social Democrat coalition that is offered at 8/13 odds once again on Betfair.
If the SDP decide to keep a loyal opposition stance, the CDU will have to turn to FDP & the Greens. A CDU – FDP collaboration is valued at 5/2 on Betfair’s political betting section, while a triple alliance of CDU – FDP – Greens pays 8/1. The unlikely event of a winning SDP – Die Linke – Greens alliance pays 9/1 on Betfair, as the three parties are expected to gain around 42% of votes according to German election polls.
Next German Chancellor odds
This market could easily be offered as Will Merkel be re elected. Given that CDU will most likely draw the majority of votes, a Merkel election victory will award 1/14 on Paddy Power. Energybet is offering 11/2 on Martin Schulz, 40/1 on AfD’s Frauke Petry, 50/1 on Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg, 100/1 on Christian Lindner. Sigmar Gabriel, who recently surpassed Angel Merkel as the most liked politician in Germany, is offered at 100/1 odds on Paddy Power. Alice Weidel, Alexander Gauland, Cem Ozdemir and Katrin Goring-Eckardt are considered longshots and can be found at 150/1 odds.
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